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    Scoping Review: Malaria risk stratification and incidence mapping

    Jessica Craig, Donal Bisanzio, Richard Reithinger

    Published: 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.17504/protocols.io.3byl4qn9zvo5/v1
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    Abstract

    Context: As countries continue to make progress against

    malaria at national level, transmission of malaria and, hence, risk becomes increasingly

    heterogeneous. To maximize available resources and ensure that effective

    interventions continue to have their desired epidemiological impact, Ministries

    of Health and National Malaria Control Programs need to be able to stratify their

    malaria burden so that specific interventions are tailored and targeted to

    well-defined strata—based on a multitude of factors, including

    socio-demographics, climatic variables, operational context, and/or epidemiology.

    Currently, there is no unified or standardized approach how countries should

    stratify their malaria burden and allocate their programmatic resources,

    including to target programmatic interventions. The objective of this scoping

    review is to map and summarize the different analytical approaches that have

    been used for malaria stratification.

    Methods: We will follow the PRISMA-ScR (Preferred Reporting

    Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis extension for Scoping Reviews)

    to conduct and report this scoping review.

    Attachments

    PMI-005 SCOPING REVIEW PROTOCOL STRATIFICATION NB.docx

    Steps

    Rationale

    1.

    Malaria is an acute febrile illness caused by a parasitic

    infection transmitted by Anopheles mosquitoes. Human malaria is caused by five

    different Plasmodium parasites, with P. falciparum being the predominant

    species in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) [1]. Malaria burden has a marked spatial

    heterogeneity with endemicity varying across and within countries. Malaria risk

    in endemic areas differs due to various factors, including the environment,

    human behavior, vector ecology, health system, and country socio-economics. The

    WHO Global technical strategy for malaria 2016-2030 suggests that malaria

    intervention strategies should be tailored to account for the marked

    heterogeneity that characterizes malaria risk within an endemic country. The

    implementation of the same intervention(s) across a whole country could waste

    resources and reduce effectiveness of interventions. Thus, countries should

    target interventions and approaches based on a stratification of malaria burden

    using data describing malaria incidence trends, vector and parasite

    characteristics, human behavior, and environmental factors. 

    Given the importance of improving intervention al

    and their effectiveness, malaria stratification is key to malaria control and

    elimination programming, with countries able to routinely analyze their data

    and stratify malaria at subnational level.

    Objectives

    2.

    ObjectivesThe objective of this scoping review is to map and summarize

    different analytical approaches for malaria stratification. To our knowledge,

    such review has not been conducted. A preliminary search for existing scoping

    and systematic reviews on the topic was conducted on November 15, 2023, using

    PubMed and no similar reviews were found. We will follow the PRISMA-ScR

    (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis extension

    for Scoping Reviews) to conduct and report this scoping review [2].

    Information Sources

    3.

    A systematic search of PubMed was conducted on January 2,

    2024, to identify studies and analyses that had used routine surveillance and

    health management information systems data to assess the effectiveness of

    malaria interventions. A detailed search strategy was designed and piloted to

    identify the optimal combination of keywords used.

    Search Strategy

    4.

    We examined the available electronic databases using

    combination searches of the following Boolean terms: “Malaria” AND “Stratification”.

    Other key terms for such as "epidemiology”, “heterogeneity” or

    “information systems” were not included in the search strategy to have a more

    comprehensive search and will be used during abstract and full text screening.

    Study Records

    5.

    All identified studies will be imported into Rayyan, a

    systematic review management software, to screen (title, abstract, and full

    text) and manage the results of the search. Two reviewers will independently

    assess the titles and abstracts of the included articles based on the inclusion

    criteria. In the event of discordance between the two reviewers, a third

    reviewer will review the titles and abstracts and will come to a final decision.

    From the included articles, the two reviewers will identify relevant

    publications by reviewing the full text. Any discordance will again be resolved

    by a third reviewer. A PRISMA flow diagram will be used to report final numbers

    of articles that are included and excluded at each stage.

    Eligibility Criteria

    6.

    No exclusion criteria were applied in terms of time period or language.

    Data Items

    7.

    From the included articles, each reviewer will work

    independently to extract data from the articles following a pre-specified

    extraction sheet. The following data will be extracted from each paper into an

    MS Excel spreadsheet: (1) author; (2) year of publication; (3) geography; (4)

    study design; (5) study period / time period covered; (6) approach to stratification;

    (7) data platform for stratification; (8) indicator variables used for

    stratification; (10) key findings; and (11) items from the Template for

    Intervention Description and Replication (TIDieR) checklist. TIDieR is a

    12-item checklist that includes the brief name, why, what (materials), what

    (procedure), who provided, how, where, when and how much, tailoring,

    modifications, how well (planned), how well (actual) of a program.

    Data Synthesis

    8.

    The proposed scoping review will outline the approaches that

    have been used for malaria stratification. The scoping review does not involve

    data on human subjects and ethical approval is not required.

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